Greinke hopes to slow down White Sox
Baseball Betting Lines
07/03/2009 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - There haven't been many pitchers who have slowed down the Chicago White Sox as of late, but Zack Greinke has shown in the past to be quite capable of such a task.
The Kansas City Royals ace will take the mound in tonight's second test of a four-game series with the visiting White Sox, who will be out to extend their season-best winning streak to seven games.
Chicago maintained its recent high level of play by besting the Royals by a 4-1 count in Thursday's opener of this set. The win was the 13th in the last 17 contests for the White Sox, who have closed within 2 1/2 games of Detroit for first place in the American League Central.
Mark Buehrle (8-2) was the difference for Chicago in last night's triumph, as the steady southpaw took a shutout into the ninth inning and yielded just one run on six hits before exiting after 8 1/3 frames.
"I had everything working," Buehrle said. "I changed my sinker grip in the bullpen. The last two or three games [catcher A.J. Pierzynski] says it's been cutting, but not sinking. So I put my fingers closer together and it was one of the best sinkers I've had in a while."
Jayson Nix went 2-for-4 with a solo home run for the White Sox, while Jim Thome also collected a pair of hits and scored once in the victory.
David DeJesus spoiled Buehrle's shutout bid with a one-out double in the bottom of the ninth. Royals starter Bruce Chen (0-2) worked six solid innings in a losing cause, with the journeyman allowing just two runs on five hits and striking out five.
Kansas City, losers of three in a row and 11 of its last 15 games, will turn to Greinke to lift the team out of its rut. The standout right-hander has usually come through when called upon, as his 10-3 record and major league- best 1.95 earned run average will attest. He's been especially dominant at home, having amassed a 6-1 record with an outstanding 1.78 ERA in nine trips to the Kauffman Stadium mound.
The White Sox are well aware of Greinke's talents. The 25-year-old has faced Chicago three times already this season and has surrendered a mere four runs -- three earned -- and 17 hits in 22 innings over those outings, winning twice and receiving a no-decision in the other. In a May 4 matchup with the Sox at Kauffman Stadium, he racked up 10 strikeouts while firing a six-hit shutout.
Greinke comes in having won his last two starts as well. After tossing eight innings of one-run ball to down Houston on June 23, he limited Pittsburgh to two runs over 6 2/3 frames in a 3-2 decision at PNC Park this past Sunday.
The former first-round pick is 5-8 with a 4.20 ERA in 20 lifetime appearances (17 starts) against Chicago.
Greinke's counterpart this evening, John Danks, is on a nice roll of his own. The White Sox lefty has pitched at least seven innings and given up three runs or fewer in each of last four starts, although he's just 2-2 over that span due to a lack of run support.
Danks didn't need much help from his offense in Sunday's clash with the rival Cubs, as he allowed only four hits over seven shutout innings to lead the White Sox to a 6-0 victory over the Northsiders. The win evened his season record to 6-6 and lowered his ERA to a respectable 4.08.
The 24-year-old is 1-0 with a 3.25 ERA over six career starts against the Royals, but struggled in a visit to Kauffman Stadium back on May 31. Danks was reached for four runs on nine hits in 5 1/3 innings that day and came away with a no-decision.
Chicago has won four of six matchups with the Royals held in Kansas City so far this season and swept a three-game set at Kauffman Stadium from May 29-31. Additionally, the White Sox enter this evening's tilt having won 12 of their last 15 overall road games.
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(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Minnesota Twins have an opportunity to gain some ground on the division-leading Detroit Tigers when the American League Central rivals begin a key three-game series tonight at the Metrodome. The Twins presently trail
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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?
The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your bet on college football needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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